Tuesday, November 02, 2004

and the dollar ...

the dollar is moving i
in anticipation of a Kerry win. Wrong direction. But that is besides the point right now.

The point is: this election is lost for George W Bush. And it is so by at least 3% in the popular vote.
Which is a conservative (sic!) estimate.

I didn't tell anybody: But those 50/50 polls were wrong. They left people out that had no landlines, or simply didn't answer them. In 4 years many things can change. But the pollster recipies did not change that much.
They can only tweak things so far. So, yes it was close, but never as close as the polls would did indicate it.


Anonymous Anonymous said...


Bush wins the EC and sets a record for the popular vote. I almost feel bad for you. Almost.

November 3, 2004 at 1:41 AM  
Blogger Anonymous Conservative said...

While I shared a similarly errant prognostication, I was sage enough to make it before the polls closed.

November 3, 2004 at 1:54 AM  
Blogger Michael said...

4 more hours? Indeed...

November 3, 2004 at 5:49 AM  

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